Saturday, December 16, 2017

How Can the National Debt Matter?

The year I was born, the national debt was $258 billion, and my grandfather lamented that my generation would be burdened to pay for it.

The years that my kids were born the national debt was between $1 and $2 trillion, and Dad lamented that my kids will be burdened to pay it off.

The years that my grand-kids were born, the national debt was between $7 and $12 trillion, and I lamented that my grand-kids will be burdened to pay it off.

Working on an MBA degree in the mid-80’s, I learned that the real problem with the debt is that it would “crowd out” private borrowing, spiking interest rates.  Applying private sector financial theory to the government, I was also taught that the US credit rating would be in jeopardy if the debt got to be over 100% of the GDP, because there was not enough national earnings to repay it.  It has been over 100% since 2012.

The debt is now approaching $20 trillion, and nobody’s grand-kids is going to have to pay it off, because it doesn’t seem to matter.  I’m not sure how many times the experts have to be proven wrong with empirical evidence for them to be abandoned, but if 70 years is not enough, you all please keep checking as the generations pass through this planet.  

It's not like you can't check because it got paid off.