Thursday, February 22, 2018

School Shootings - What to do in the Meantime

A national ban on the sale of semi-automatic rifles is passed.
Everybody is to be screened every five years at the DMVs and schools for mental illness.
In the meantime out of the over 100 million privately owned rifles in the US, a guess would be 75 million are semi-auto.
In the meantime, serious mental illness affects almost 10 million Americans.
In the meantime, how many kids are going to be sitting ducks unable to defend themselves in unprotected schools?
  • One entrance
  • Metal detectors
  • Trained and certified, armed protection
  • School Resource Officer training for all personnel
  • Safety drills.
Once all the semi-auto rifles are gone and mental illness is cured, all that stuff can stop.

Friday, February 16, 2018

Extent of Employee Benefits of Corporate Tax Reform Not Reported

With well over 400 businesses reporting how their employees, customers, and their communities are being rewarded by their employers, the estimate is that this number represents about 10% of the actual number of companies participating.

Company owners who were contacted cite a number of reasons for not making it known. 

The majority cite a value of just doing what is expected.  John, the owner of a regional chain of landscape nurseries, stated, “I don’t put out news releases about our work with local charities or how we give bonuses to those employee that go above and beyond with their customers.  The help with personal situations like long-term family problems like disease, financial disasters, deaths, and such, to me, is just between me and my employees, and I don’t really want to use that to promote the business.

“You know what we have done for our employees with the tax cut money, to me, is just like paying the bills on time, keeping the grounds clean, taking care of customers, employees, vendors, and such.  It’s part of the job.  Nobody’s business but ours.”

On a darker side of the political climate, we found a group of businesses that were taught a lesson about what they say and do these days.  Some downtowns are getting a new lease on life by converting old storefronts to craft breweries, restaurants, music venues, coffee shops, art galleries, and trendy gift and craft shops that appeal to the 18 to 34 demo.  These people are generally upscale and current with the fashionable values and politics. For the most part, so are the shop owners.

Daniele owns a coffee shop and music stage in a trendy part of town.  She has three full-time employees and four part-timers.  She is used to putting out releases and has an Internet service that blasts them out to local media outlets.  “We have the usual specials and unique drinks from time to time, but I really need to let everybody know who is performing that night,” she explained.  “I prepare releases just about every day.”

So when Daniele forecast the savings she was about to receive from the tax cut she wrote a release about the raises she was giving everybody, the extra paid time off for charity work, and additional help with their health insurance premiums.  When the news hit the usual outlets the next day, everything seemed quite normal and routine.

The next morning, like most other small business owners, Daniele was up hours before opening to do paperwork, clean up a bit, do some maintenance, and set out new displays.  When she arrived at the shop her heart sunk when she saw the destruction.  Broken windows, spray-painted walls inside and out with profanity laden anti-Trump graffiti.  Equipment inside was broken, chairs thrown against the wall, and paint everywhere.

Daniele went outside, sat on the curb and cried as she called the police.


Later that day in interviews with neighboring shops and stores fear was in the air.  Some, not all, had also begun to share their tax relief with employees with bonuses and raises, with customers with price reductions, and the community and downtown area in various ways.  Some never intended to promote their generosity, but the ones that had plans to said, in confidence, that they now planned to be quiet. 

Wednesday, February 7, 2018

Military Parades


I was in a few of those when a dignitary came to the fort - a visiting general, a senator, even some foreign generals. Nothing really big, but still cool.

I never was gung-ho much then, but being in those parades, being a part of that patriotic pageantry, that show of might, discipline, and past glory is quite impossible to describe. But I'll do it anyway.
It's more than pride, more than patriotism; it's the honoring of the history, lives, families of all those that were willing to die for us, died for us, were wounded for us, sacrificed wealth, family, security, happiness for a lot of people they were connect to by values they shared in anonymity.

And I got to walk right there alongside of them, in the same steps, to the same cadence as if I had a right to.

There is a missing piece to those who think that kneeling is simply a quiet, peaceful protest. And it's OK with me if they are never able to experience these un-shared emotions of forged anger/pride and heat treated love/protection, because that kind of worthiness has to be earned. And if the piece is missing, it won't appear, and there is nowhere to store it.

It looks like there is going to be a big one. The big thrill, a dream of a lifetime would be to participate, but it would all come back to me if I could just be there.

Tuesday, February 6, 2018

Stock Market Corrections

Dow 11/08/2016 18,332
Dow 01/26/2018 26,392
A proper correction would be -2639 to 23,753
We need to get a total drop of 2639 to call this the long-overdue, needed, and very healthy correction (defined as a 10% drop) what it should be. It's the nature of markets to get overbought in a long term run up and the slack has to be removed before it can resume its upward trend.
Corrections are like cleaning the litter-box. They are dirty, messy, unpleasant, smelly, and required for household health.
I'm not predicting anything, just stating market theory based upon history.
Corrections are triggered by events - a bad earnings report by a bellwether, a major disaster, an assassination (sorry haters, not this time), or in this case a rise in the interest rates and a fear of a continued rise. This would make problems for servicing the nation debt, making it more expensive to grow businesses, drops in sales of things that require debt (cars, boats, houses, RVs and other big toys).
Plus, the guaranteed return of a 10 year treasury note is getting to look better than risking money in the stock market.
They tell you that market prices are based up the future earnings (and dividends) of a company. They even have formula to make predictions. Of course, if the experts were right, we could get very rich, very fast, but as is the case, more often than not, they have their heads up their asses.
here are very accurate formula that consider these variables plus a top of technical data. But the brunt of these have been dampened by regulatory brakes.
Market prices are based upon the perceived direction of the stock, or, in the case of the newer index options, the general direction of the market.

Sunday, February 4, 2018

The Crumb Report - The Sunday Comics and the Joe Btfsplks

You can see the foreboding by the shoe appearing in the lower left-hand corner of the first panel of the comic strip. The impending appearance of a character that is compelled to destroy the impact of anything good.
A report of a pilot that safely lands a disabled plane saving hundreds of lives gets countered with a story about the pilot's weaknesses.
Relating how your vacation weather was seven days of beautiful warm sunshine is countered with the dangers of sun on the skin.
You know the guy, the Joe Btfsplks of the world that can't let a good report go uncountered by his chronic unhappiness. He will always be around coming up from time to time to try to bring you down into the hole that he's in.
Ignored clouds are gone before you know it.